The Thermostat Problem and the Limits of Empiricism
They Can't Be Compared Directly, Except That We Make This Comparison All the Time
Or: You Know The Economy is Good When You Can't Find a Babysitter
Why investors pay 1000x more for a 10% return from Millennium than for a 10% return from Vanguard
Long-Term Drift, Short-Term Opportunism, and How They Pair Nicely
Corporate Birth, Middle Age, and a Well-Managed Decline
When Assets Go Up, So Does Spending. Does It Work Forever?
Earnings Season, Conference Season, Junior-Employee-Answers-the-Phone Season...
What Return do Companies Need When They Buy Equipment and Assets, and Why is it 15%?
Data Exhaust, Signals Intelligence, and Other Features of the Modern Investment Process
Optimal bet size is usually stated in terms of bankroll, but the size of the bankroll is tricky to measure.
Is Zero Any More Special a Number Than 3.82234%?